Invest 95L Likely to Develop Into a Tropical Storm; Could Bring Heavy Rain, Wind to Dorian-Affected Northwest Bahamas | The Weather Channel – Articles from The Weather Channel |

At a Glance

  • A tropical disturbance, Invest 95L, is near the Bahamas.
  • It will likely develop into a tropical depression or storm by Friday.
  • The future track of this system is very uncertain.
  • Interests from the northern Gulf Coast to Florida to the Carolinas should monitor the forecast closely.

This article is no longer being updated. For the latest forecast on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, please click here . A tropical perturbation is likely to become a tropical low or storm by Friday and could pose a terror to the Bahamas, Florida and other parts of the Southeast Coast or Gulf Coast, including areas devastated by Hurricane Dorian.

The tropical disturbance is presently located over the southeast Bahamas, with clusters of showers and thunderstorms extending from eastern Cuba northbound for a few hundred miles. These convective clusters have become more haunting over the past 24-36 hours. The National Hurricane Center ( NHC ) has tagged this arrangement Invest 95L, a naming conventionality used by meteorologists to identify areas that are being monitored for possible tropical development. The NHC has scheduled an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission into Invest 95L for late this afternoon. If this system continues to show signs of arrangement, the NHC may designate it as a “ likely Tropical Cyclone “. This special type of advisory allows the NHC to issue watches and/or warnings before a tropical depression or storm actually forms, providing more go clock time. In this character, we may see tropical storm watches or warnings issued for parts of the Bahamas, including the Dorian-devastated northwest Bahamas. Where this system tracks has become so far another challenge forecast, in large part because we still do not have a low-pressure center for the calculator forecast models to latch on to. There are two basic scenarios : 1. If the arrangement forms sooner and stronger, it would favor tracks farther east, over parts of the Bahamas and near Florida ‘s East Coast, steered by high-level south to southeast winds. ad

2. If the system forms late and weaker, it would track more toward the west-northwest, finally into the Gulf of Mexico. A act of numeric calculate model tracks have trended farther east and north – basically, the first scenario – suggesting a track near Florida, the Bahamas and the Southeast seashore is possible this weekend into early on following workweek. however, a number of early calculate model tracks continue to take 95L into the eastern, then northern Gulf of Mexico this weekend, scenario two above. The bottom line is the bode is highly unsealed. Interests from the northern Gulf Coast to Florida, the Bahamas, Georgia and the Carolinas should monitor the latest forecast for this system closely. The next tropical storm in the Atlantic washbasin will earn the name “ Humberto. ”

Heavy Rain Threat

Periods of gusty winds and locally dense rain can be expected the next few days in the Bahamas and Florida. This includes areas ravaged by Hurricane Dorian in the northwestern Bahamas. In general, the heaviest rain should fall along and to the east of the center of this system. As mentioned earlier, the track of this system is highly uncertain at this time. Localized flaunt flood is possible in areas where bands of rain stall or persevere over an sphere.

Higher surfboard and rip currents may build along the northern and eastern Gulf Coast, vitamin a well as the Atlantic beaches of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas, into this weekend. An apart waterspout or crack is besides possible in Florida or the Bahamas into this weekend. Check back with us at for the latest on this potential weekend arrangement .

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