Invest 96L in the Atlantic Could Develop into a Tropical Depression or Storm This Week | The Weather Channel – Articles from The Weather Channel | https://investmentchannel.net

At a Glance

  • The National Hurricane Center is watching a tropical wave for further development.
  • The disturbance will bring increased moisture from the Leeward Islands to the Bahamas.
  • Hurricane season comes to a close Nov. 30.

A perturbation in the central Atlantic is vying to become the season ‘s future tropical depression or tropical storm, and while it will enhance rain in Puerto Rico, the arrangement poses no menace to the mainland United States.

( MORE: What is an Invest? | Hurricane Central)
This system has been dubbed Invest 96L, which is a name conventionality used by the National Hurricane Center ( NHC ) to identify systems that have some electric potential to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm .
presently, the tropical wave is located good east of the Leeward Islands and is showing some signs of increased thunderstorm activeness .
image Invest 96L : area Being Watched for Development ( A tropical or subtropical cyclone may develop this week in the shadow sphere. ) Wind fleece – the change in wind focal ratio and management with height – is unfavorable for the constitution of a tropical depression or storm, but conditions may gradually become more favorable for exploitation by Tuesday or Wednesday as fart fleece decreases and ocean temperatures increase in the path of this system .
however, the NHC noted late Monday that environmental conditions may not become angstrom conducive as previously anticipated, so the odds of development have decreased .
The NHC gives Invest 96L a metier luck of development during the following five days, with the most likely window for tropical development opening wednesday. If this arrangement gets named, it would be called Patty .
(MORE: 4 Reasons It’s Not Time To Put Away Your Hurricane Kits Just Yet)
The system will be guided to the west-northwest through Wednesday or Thursday by a dome of high imperativeness located over the northern Atlantic. This will take Invest 96L near or equitable north of the Leeward Islands on Tuesday, then north of Puerto Rico and Hispañiola on Wednesday .
A tide of tropical moisture will spread across the northeastern Caribbean as this system passes to the north. As a result, an increase in shower and thunderstorm activeness can be expected in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Tuesday night through Thursday.

former Wednesday and into Thursday, this system could approach the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southerly or cardinal Bahamas before the dome of high pressure scoots eastbound and steering patterns begin to change for the arrangement .
As is distinctive for the subsequently months of the hurricane season, a cold front will sweep off the East Coast of the United States recently Thursday or early Friday. This limit will besides act as a harbor for the United States and will redirect the system to the north and east for the end of the workweek .
There is inactive some jiggle board in the calculate regarding the forward build up of that cold front. The faster the limit moves, the earlier this system will be picked up and turned around, and the fewer impacts the Bahamas will see. If the cold front is a bit slower, then heavier rain in the Bahamas would be the result .
by and large, ignite rain totals are expected across the Leeward Islands through early on this workweek .
The system will be preferably fast-moving, so rain amounts far west will be ignite to moderate. Overall, 1 to 3 inches of rain in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands can be anticipated, and then, even in the worst case, less than 2 inches should fall in the Bahamas .
image Forecast Rainfall (MORE: The Record-Latest U.S. Hurricane and Major Hurricane Landfalls)

Tropical Climatology in November

On modal, one named storm and one hurricane shape in the Atlantic Basin during the calendar month of November .
tropical depression and storm formation is most likely in November near the Lesser Antilles, in the Caribbean Sea or sometimes in the central Atlantic Ocean .
After formation, most tropical systems get picked up by early-cold-season dips in the jet stream well off the coast of North America and are sent northeast into the open ocean .
image

distinctive formation areas in November. (MORE: Five Unforgettable November Hurricanes)
Hurricane season ends Nov. 30 .

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